US UK trade deal

Dotard spoke in his teleconference with May about the “phenomenal” trade deal they could sign, which would make up for all losses on EU trade. Ha, ha, said all the economists listening. Here is the current trade relationship of the UK with the EU and the US. 

UK trade with the EU - $ 600 bn roughly
UK trade with the US - $ 200 bn roughly

The former dwarfs the latter - no wonder, since its next door and all regulations are the same. A 10% decrease in trade with the EU would require almost a 40% increase in trade with the US to make that up. The tooth fairy and trade fairy would need to visit. Dotard, of course, in Trumpian terms, talked of doubling or tripling the trade volume. I suppose that would mean a Trump Tower in every Town, and every female Brit carrying an Ivanka handbag. In return, Trump could promise that every American would get drunk on scotch, and be forced to love haggis.

And that assumes the trade would be on equally profitable terms. But knowing Dotard, he is only looking for a smaller country to bully, and after his Mexican antics, his word is basically worth shxt (like his hypothetical, phenomenal trade deal). What is to stop him from eating haggis, then having a terrible time on his golden toilet, and then declaring a 5% tax on haggis, to be increased every month by 5% until the Brits agree to prepare it with ketchup and mayonnaise, with some freedom fries on the side. 

Additionally, any alignment of regulations would have to start with agriculture - and even Boris probably wouldn’t dare to tell the Brits that they now need to eat hormone-treated beef and chlorinated chicken, lest they all clamor to get back into the EU. Once you take those off the table, US interest in a deal is likely to sink like a stone. Even before getting into the whole genetically modified debate. And the NHS.

I mean, is there a bigger joke than the Americans helping with the NHS? With the US child mortality rate 50% higher than the UK, and the maternal mortality rate double the UK, and life expectancy higher in the UK, why in hell would they let the Americans come in and fxxx that all up? 

But, say the Great Little Brexiteers, we will make that up with trade with the Commonwealth, all those countries who love us so much. Well, if you had a chart with UK-EU trade, and then put trade with India or Australia on that chart, the line would almost be the x-axis. So unlike Dotard’s Doubling, you’d need a Modi Multi-ing to make a difference. Now that cow slaughter is banned in India, I suppose they could send to the UK all those stray abandoned old cows they do not know what to do with. But the vegetarian teetotaler Modi is unlikely to accept Scotch and haggis in return. 

And while the Aussies would gladly take the Scotch (though maybe not the haggis), what would happen if Scotland does vote to secede and take their Scotch with them? Back to Brexiternity all over again.

(Side note: Laura Ingraham said on Fox - “the protesters didn’t look very British to me - they looked like they were not from London”. Thought I’d put that in before I forget it. I suppose she was confused by the UK, Great Britain, England, and so on, so thought maybe London was also the country. Only on Fox.....)

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